Local Recovery Solidifies, While Global Uncertainty Continues

Through 2025, the Reserve Bank has shifted decisively toward an easing cycle, cutting the OCR as economic activity softened. The effect rippled through the financial system, with banks gradually trimming their retail and term-deposit rates as the cost of funds declined.

Over the same period, average 12-month bank term-deposit rates drifted lower, offering investors increasingly modest yields. While deposits remain the preferred safe option for many, their returns have not kept pace with inflation or investor expectations.

Against this backdrop, Zagga has continued to stand out. Over the past 12 months, Zagga investors have consistently earned returns that remained a few percentage points higher than the market average for bank term deposits. Even as rates fluctuated month to month, returns stayed comfortably ahead of traditional bank offerings, reflecting the strength and reliability of Zagga’s asset-backed lending model.

 

The platform’s diversified portfolio – spanning projects from Dunedin to Auckland – has delivered stable performance through a period of global financial volatility. While equity markets and other growth assets have endured sharp swings, Zagga has offered investors steady, predictable income backed by real assets. For many, it has been a more stable alternative for consistent, inflation-beating yields at a time when other options have felt uncertain. 

Looking ahead, the same forces that are lowering term-deposit rates are flowing through to property backed lending. As the OCR potentially continues to ease, Zagga’s investment returns are likely to adjust in line with the lower cost of borrowing, yet investors can still expect returns that sit comfortably above traditional bank deposits.  

Furthermore, Zagga’s returns have been able to be maintained slightly higher than other property back investment providers. As possibly the only purely peer to peer model in New Zealand, our investor-first approach means we prioritise your preferences first wherever possible.  

2025 marked a turning point for New Zealand’s monetary environment. As we move into 2026, returns across the market may soften, but Zagga’s investors are well-placed to continue earning strong returns, supported by sound risk management and the growing appeal of secured, income-based investing.  

Ready to see how Zagga can enhance your investment portfolio?  
Explore current opportunities at zagga.co.nz or contact our investor relations team to learn more about how secured peer-to-peer lending can work for you. 

The latest GPD data is out, and at 0.2% growth in the last three months of 2025, it’s risen for three out of the past four quarters. We’re into annual growth for the first time since the third quarter of 2024, which is a hopeful signal that local conditions are improving.

The latest data shows solid increases in retail and accommodation sectors, finance and insurance, media and comms, and arts and recreation. Construction under performed, but data from January and February 2026 looks more positive for the sector, so overall the picture here in New Zealand is encouraging.

The looming concern is the global oil crisis, and the headlines seem alarming. But we’ve been reading some pretty frightening headlines every week since 2020, and we all just keep on going. What can you do in these uncertain times? The best advice is not to panic. If you have an investment strategy that’s taking you toward your financial goals, stay calm and talk to your adviser before you make any sudden moves. As ASB’s analysts point out, “the average conflict results in a very short-term drawdown of roughly 5% (using the S&P500 as a proxy), with the market recovering its losses over an average of 47 days.”

In the longer term, this fuel crisis might have an upside. If it encourages a faster shift to renewables, that will improve New Zealand’s energy security and make us less vulnerable to these oil shocks in future. ANZ is reporting more interest in EVs, and BYD says it’s had a bumper few weeks. The national grid reached a record high of 96.4% renewable in the latest data, a new record, so the decarbonisation megatrend is continuing its onward march here in New Zealand.

In response to the picture both here and abroad, the big banks have been nudging up their interest rates, leading to higher returns for savers. Term deposit rates are up marginally, but still below 4%. Returns on Zagga loans have also stayed steady, and have been consistently paying around 7%. We’re seeing rapid uptake on new opportunities, and we expect this continue throughout 2026 – particularly as momentum grows in the construction sector.

We’ve seen a noticeable increase in both the volume and quality of loan investments coming through this month, and we’re excited to be bringing these new opportunities to our investors. With strong demand and quick uptake on new listings, it’s important to be prepared so you can take advantage of opportunities as they become available.