Local Recovery Solidifies, While Global Uncertainty Continues

How confident do you feel about your retirement savings? According to this 2021 research paper, there are four important drivers of retirement confidence in retirement for Kiwis aged over 54:

  1. Owning your home

Homeowners are much more confident about their retirement savings, and this makes perfect sense. It’s about security; you can stay there for as long as you like, and your accommodation costs are low and stable. Even a small mortgage at age 65 is a better feeling than facing the uncertainty of renting.

Of the people surveyed who were still working after age 65, homeowners were more likely to work just because they enjoyed it, rather than because they needed the money.

“I don’t intend to retire; nothing to do with money, purely to do with my enjoyment of work,” was one comment from a 66-year-old man living in Hamilton. Much more depressing was the view of a 66-year-old man from Auckland who told the researchers, “If you don’t own your own home you have to work until the day you die.”

  1. Having savings and investments: self-funded retirement income

Do you have sources of money beyond superannuation? Living on the superannuation payment is a squeeze for most people, so those with a savings buffer were more confident about their retirement.

Having investments, even just KiwiSaver, added another confidence boost. If you have a strong portfolio of investments, you probably have good reason to be fairly optimistic about your future.

We know that those aged 55-plus make up a large proportion of Zagga’s clients, with a significant chunk of them aged over 70 – and even a few in their 90s. In our experience, those clients are super confident about the future and usually enjoy a high quality of life.

  1. Being retired

Confidence increases with age. The low point for retirement confidence is age 55 to 64, where retirement is on the horizon and it can feel scary. Once people actually retire, their confidence increases. This suggests that retirement is better than what we imagine it will be, rather than worse.

That’s not a reason to sit back and relax – the panicky years probably spur us on to save a bit harder, contributing to that higher confidence after 65. But it does mean that your worst fears may be exaggerated.

  1. Having a financial advisor

Having a financial advisor raises confidence in retirement savings; 12% of low earners (under $30,000 annually) used a personal advisor, rising to 16% for those earning $30,000 to $70,000, and then to around a quarter for those earning over $70,000. Almost half (46%) spoke to their advisor more than twice a year.

Getting professional advice can really help you maximise your retirement funds. They can help you diversify into a range of investments, so your portfolio is balanced and it continues to bring in as much income as possible once you’re no longer working.

Enjoy your money!

If you do maximise your funds, hopefully you can enjoy life as much as this 68-year-old accountant from Christchurch, who told the researchers that he wasn’t paying for his kids to have all the fun.

“People worry too much about trying to only live off the interest from their investments – they need to learn how to live off the capital also… My three children will earn far more money in their lifetimes than I ever earned in mine, and I was a Chartered Accountant. Can’t see why I should fly cattle class when I fly overseas, then when I die, my children and their families fly business class – thus Dad flies business class!”

The latest GPD data is out, and at 0.2% growth in the last three months of 2025, it’s risen for three out of the past four quarters. We’re into annual growth for the first time since the third quarter of 2024, which is a hopeful signal that local conditions are improving.

The latest data shows solid increases in retail and accommodation sectors, finance and insurance, media and comms, and arts and recreation. Construction under performed, but data from January and February 2026 looks more positive for the sector, so overall the picture here in New Zealand is encouraging.

The looming concern is the global oil crisis, and the headlines seem alarming. But we’ve been reading some pretty frightening headlines every week since 2020, and we all just keep on going. What can you do in these uncertain times? The best advice is not to panic. If you have an investment strategy that’s taking you toward your financial goals, stay calm and talk to your adviser before you make any sudden moves. As ASB’s analysts point out, “the average conflict results in a very short-term drawdown of roughly 5% (using the S&P500 as a proxy), with the market recovering its losses over an average of 47 days.”

In the longer term, this fuel crisis might have an upside. If it encourages a faster shift to renewables, that will improve New Zealand’s energy security and make us less vulnerable to these oil shocks in future. ANZ is reporting more interest in EVs, and BYD says it’s had a bumper few weeks. The national grid reached a record high of 96.4% renewable in the latest data, a new record, so the decarbonisation megatrend is continuing its onward march here in New Zealand.

In response to the picture both here and abroad, the big banks have been nudging up their interest rates, leading to higher returns for savers. Term deposit rates are up marginally, but still below 4%. Returns on Zagga loans have also stayed steady, and have been consistently paying around 7%. We’re seeing rapid uptake on new opportunities, and we expect this continue throughout 2026 – particularly as momentum grows in the construction sector.

We’ve seen a noticeable increase in both the volume and quality of loan investments coming through this month, and we’re excited to be bringing these new opportunities to our investors. With strong demand and quick uptake on new listings, it’s important to be prepared so you can take advantage of opportunities as they become available.