Local Recovery Solidifies, While Global Uncertainty Continues

When multiple business owner Lance Green wanted to re-finance a lifestyle property, his first instinct was to approach his commercial bank. But with the COVID-19 crisis in full swing, the bank had little appetite for new lending arrangements. So instead, Lance turned to peer-to-peer lending platform, Zagga.

Offering a range of personal, residential, commercial and rural loans, Zagga matches credit-worthy borrowers to committed investors. As Lance discovered, the whole borrowing process is surprisingly simple and convenient.

“The process of borrowing with Zagga was excellent. This was the first time that we arranged the borrowing without going through a broker.”

With flexible lending criteria, larger loan sizes and a case-by-case approach, Zagga is able to help more borrowers than traditional lenders. The process is completely transparent: Zagga’s bespoke grading system assigns a Credit Assessment Score to each loan, so interest rates differ from borrower to borrower, and loan to loan.

In Lance’s case, Zagga’s proposed terms and interest rates were attractive enough that he decided to take out a further loan. He and his partner owned a block of land in Waikato that they wanted to develop into an eco-lodge. With Zagga’s help that development is now underway.

And when COVID-19 took its toll on their lifestyle vacation company, Viaggio, it was to Zagga that Lance and his partner turned for interest relief.

“When you take a $2m dollar international bespoke travel business that ended overnight – the support was absolutely necessary. Bill Calder (Zagga’s General Manager of Credit Risk) was very responsive. He fully understood the challenges that we were facing.

Overall, the advice and structure put in place by Bill took into account the borrowings and all the business challenges we are facing with our business, which was significantly effected by COVID-19 and Lockdown.”

Peer-to-peer lending is still relatively under-used in New Zealand. But now that Lance has experienced the Zagga borrowing process, he can see that peer-to-peer lending has a significant place in the market.

Lance heartily recommends anyone looking to secure a loan for their project to investigate the process for themselves. And when asked whether he would consider taking out a loan through Zagga again, the answer is an emphatic…“Absolutely!”

The latest GPD data is out, and at 0.2% growth in the last three months of 2025, it’s risen for three out of the past four quarters. We’re into annual growth for the first time since the third quarter of 2024, which is a hopeful signal that local conditions are improving.

The latest data shows solid increases in retail and accommodation sectors, finance and insurance, media and comms, and arts and recreation. Construction under performed, but data from January and February 2026 looks more positive for the sector, so overall the picture here in New Zealand is encouraging.

The looming concern is the global oil crisis, and the headlines seem alarming. But we’ve been reading some pretty frightening headlines every week since 2020, and we all just keep on going. What can you do in these uncertain times? The best advice is not to panic. If you have an investment strategy that’s taking you toward your financial goals, stay calm and talk to your adviser before you make any sudden moves. As ASB’s analysts point out, “the average conflict results in a very short-term drawdown of roughly 5% (using the S&P500 as a proxy), with the market recovering its losses over an average of 47 days.”

In the longer term, this fuel crisis might have an upside. If it encourages a faster shift to renewables, that will improve New Zealand’s energy security and make us less vulnerable to these oil shocks in future. ANZ is reporting more interest in EVs, and BYD says it’s had a bumper few weeks. The national grid reached a record high of 96.4% renewable in the latest data, a new record, so the decarbonisation megatrend is continuing its onward march here in New Zealand.

In response to the picture both here and abroad, the big banks have been nudging up their interest rates, leading to higher returns for savers. Term deposit rates are up marginally, but still below 4%. Returns on Zagga loans have also stayed steady, and have been consistently paying around 7%. We’re seeing rapid uptake on new opportunities, and we expect this continue throughout 2026 – particularly as momentum grows in the construction sector.

We’ve seen a noticeable increase in both the volume and quality of loan investments coming through this month, and we’re excited to be bringing these new opportunities to our investors. With strong demand and quick uptake on new listings, it’s important to be prepared so you can take advantage of opportunities as they become available.