Local Recovery Solidifies, While Global Uncertainty Continues

The latest retirement spending guidelines are out, and they say a city couple needs $1.142 million to retire with ‘choices’. In the regions, the same couple have a ‘choices’ retirement with less than $500,000 in savings.

A ‘choices’ retirement for a couple in the provinces needs a $446,000 lump sum, or $252,000 for one person. But what kind of choices do you get with that retirement? And will those sums get you the kind of retirement you’ve dreamed about?

Spending no More Than $250 on Food and Alcohol

Take a look at the detailed spending for a provincial choices budget: for one person, your weekly food and alcohol budget is about $116. If you’re part of a couple, that increases to $250. You certainly have more choices than a retiree on the ‘no frills’ budget, but those choices will still be limited. If you’re used to eating takeaways weekly and going to restaurants regularly, it’s possible you’ll need to tighten your belt.

To save up for the metro level of choices, one person will need $271,000, or a couple will need a lump sum of $1.142 million. Does that buy you a more lavish lifestyle? For one-person households, your food and liquor budget is a little over $130 a week. For two-person households, it’s a lot higher: around $350 on food and alcohol. But that isn’t a massive budget if you’re high earners who are used to spending $200 or more at high-end restaurants.

Here’s Hoping You’ve Paid off the Mortgage

The outgoings for current retirees make it clear that most of them are mortgage-free homeowners. Housing costs were less than $250 a week for every level of spending for one-person households, which includes rates, maintenance and energy costs. Two-person households all spend less than $350 a week.

Even with more than $1 million at retirement, the sums only add up if your housing costs are negligible. No problem for most Boomers, but for Gen X and Millennials, home loans tend to be hefty. The retirement guidelines suggest that you should work aggressively to have your home loan cleared by the time you retire. Otherwise you’ll need a lot more money in the bank to rent or keep paying down debt.

How Much Travel is in Your Future?

Most people like to imagine travelling once they retire, whether it’s to visit the grandchildren or see those bucket list sights. There is no line item in the expenditure guidelines for travel. ‘Recreation and culture’ gets a small weekly budget: ranging from $34 for one person provincial up to $250 for two-person provincial households.

That would give you, at most, a budget of $13,000 a year to cover all the recreation and culture for two people, which isn’t much of an international travel budget. If you would like to spend four weeks of the year travelling the world, even the million-dollar lump sum isn’t going to cut the mustard.

You can Save Over $1 Million

One of the main messages of the retirement guidelines is that you don’t need to save a huge amount, so don’t feel daunted – just put away a little bit and you can do it.

Our message is similar, but see if you can spot the difference: You can save a huge amount, and live an exciting travel-filled retirement, you just need to invest intelligently and start early enough.

Compounding makes a $1,000,000 lump sum entirely achievable, even for an individual. If you start at 30, earn $120,000 a year, and contribute 10% to an aggressive KiwiSaver (with your employer tipping in 3%), you’ll have a nudge over $1.1 million at age 65, and that’s adjusted for inflation. Or it might be a combination of $500,000 in KiwiSaver, $300,000 from downsizing your home, and another $200,000 in other investments. Add a small inheritance and the whole picture becomes even brighter.

A couple might retire with $250,000 each in KiwiSaver and $500,000 cash from downsizing their home. Job done. They could potentially double that if they have high incomes and put them to good use.

Yes, you probably do need at least $1 million to enjoy plenty of dining out and travelling in retirement. But $1 million is not a ridiculous or insurmountable sum. It’s completely achievable – if you don’t know where to start, talk to your financial advisor.

 

The latest GPD data is out, and at 0.2% growth in the last three months of 2025, it’s risen for three out of the past four quarters. We’re into annual growth for the first time since the third quarter of 2024, which is a hopeful signal that local conditions are improving.

The latest data shows solid increases in retail and accommodation sectors, finance and insurance, media and comms, and arts and recreation. Construction under performed, but data from January and February 2026 looks more positive for the sector, so overall the picture here in New Zealand is encouraging.

The looming concern is the global oil crisis, and the headlines seem alarming. But we’ve been reading some pretty frightening headlines every week since 2020, and we all just keep on going. What can you do in these uncertain times? The best advice is not to panic. If you have an investment strategy that’s taking you toward your financial goals, stay calm and talk to your adviser before you make any sudden moves. As ASB’s analysts point out, “the average conflict results in a very short-term drawdown of roughly 5% (using the S&P500 as a proxy), with the market recovering its losses over an average of 47 days.”

In the longer term, this fuel crisis might have an upside. If it encourages a faster shift to renewables, that will improve New Zealand’s energy security and make us less vulnerable to these oil shocks in future. ANZ is reporting more interest in EVs, and BYD says it’s had a bumper few weeks. The national grid reached a record high of 96.4% renewable in the latest data, a new record, so the decarbonisation megatrend is continuing its onward march here in New Zealand.

In response to the picture both here and abroad, the big banks have been nudging up their interest rates, leading to higher returns for savers. Term deposit rates are up marginally, but still below 4%. Returns on Zagga loans have also stayed steady, and have been consistently paying around 7%. We’re seeing rapid uptake on new opportunities, and we expect this continue throughout 2026 – particularly as momentum grows in the construction sector.

We’ve seen a noticeable increase in both the volume and quality of loan investments coming through this month, and we’re excited to be bringing these new opportunities to our investors. With strong demand and quick uptake on new listings, it’s important to be prepared so you can take advantage of opportunities as they become available.